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浅析人口预测方法及其运用
Brief analysis on population forecast method and application.
------以永兴县为例
take YongXing town as an example
摘要： 根据已有的人口预测方法，结合永兴县人口发展状况，选择3种方法对永兴县人口进行了预测，并综合分析，给出永兴县未来人口较为精确的预测结果，为决策者在各项社会经济活动预测中提供一定的参考依据。
abstract: According to the existed population forecast method, combining the population development status of YongXing City, three method were selected to forecast the population of YongXing City and to analyze synthetically, in order to forecast a accurate result of future population in YongXing City, to provide a reference for the decision-maker in every social economic forecast activity.
关键词： 自然增长法 趋势预测法 灰色系统模拟法
keywords: natrul growth method, trend forecast method, gray system simulation method
Analysis of population projections and its use
------ As an example to Yongxing Xian
Abstract: According to the existing method of population projections, the population of Yongxing Xian development of the choice of three methods of the Yongxing Xian population projections and analysis, presented Yongxing Xian population in the future more accurately forecast the outcome of the decision-making In the socio-economic activities to provide a prediction of the reference.
Key words: natural growth, the trend forecast, Gray System Simulation
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